Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) are trading above the psychologically important levels of $30,000 and $2,000 respectively. This suggests that the crypto winter may be on its last legs.
Some analysts are calling for an altseason to begin but it may be too early for that. When most of the crypto bears turn bullish, Bitcoin is likely to turn down sharply and catch the late entrants off guard. That could hurt sentiment in the short term and cause a sell-off in altcoins. After the weak hands are shaken out, the crypto markets may stabilize and begin a sustained uptrend.
Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360
Data from on-chain intelligence platform Glassnode suggests that there are significant similarities between the current having cycle and the previous ones. However, Ecoinometrics warned that an economic recession could alter things.
Let’s watch the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to spot the important resistance levels that may start a pullback.
Bitcoin price analysis
The bears tried to stall the up-move on April 12 but the bulls did not give up. They resumed their purchase on April 13 and cleared the hurdle at $30,550 on April 14.
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If buyers sustain the price above $30,550, the BTC/USDT pair may rally to $32,400. The bears are expected to protect this level with all their might.
If the price turns down from this level but does not break below the 20-day EMA ($28,542), it will enhance the prospects of a rally above $32,400. If this level is scaled, the pair may zoom toward $40,000.
On the other hand, if the 20-day EMA cracks, it will suggest that the bears are trying to make a comeback. That could clear the path for a possible drop to $25,250.
Ether price analysis
Ether (ETH) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($1,870) on April 12, indicating that the bulls are guarding the level with vigor.
ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The buying continued on April 13 and the bulls pushed the price above the psychologically important level of $2,000. That attracted further buying and the ETH/USDT pair started its climb toward $2,200. This is a crucial level for the bears to defend because if they fail to do that, the pair may witness a buying stampede. The pair could then skyrocket to $3,000.
Conversely, if the price turns down from $2,200 and breaks below $2,000, the pair may tumble to the 20-day EMA. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break below it may pull the pair to $1,680.
BNB price analysis
The bulls did not allow BNB (BNB) to dip below the 20-day EMA ($317) on April 12 and 13. This indicates that the sentiment is turning positive and traders are buying the dips.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA has started to turn up and the RSI has jumped above 60, suggesting that the tide is turning in favor of the bulls.
Buyers will try to solidify their position by catapulting the price above the $338 to $346 overhead zone. If they manage to do that, the BNB/USDT pair may pick up momentum and rally to $360 and subsequently to $400.
On the contrary, if the price turns down from the overhead zone, it will suggest that the bears are active at higher levels. That may keep the pair stuck between the 20-day EMA and $346 for some time.
XRP price analysis
Buyers successfully protected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.49. That attracted further buying in XRP (XRP), which pushed the price toward the overhead resistance zone of $0.56 to $0.58.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.49) and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that bulls have a slight edge. If buyers kick the price above $0.58, the XRP/USDT pair may start an up-move that could reach $0.65 and then $0.80.
Contrarily, if the price turns down from the overhead zone, it will suggest that the pair may consolidate between $0.49 and $0.58 for a few days. The trend will favor the bears if they yank the price below $0.49.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) soared above the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern on April 13, completing the reversal setup.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Usually, after the breakout from a pattern, the price turns down and retests the breakout level. In this case, the ADA/USDT pair may dip to the neckline. If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support. That may start an up-move toward the pattern target of $0.60.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply and breaks below $0.37, it will suggest that the breakout above the neckline was a fake out. The pair may then plunge to $0.30.
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the moving averages on April 12 as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls tried to drive the DOGE/USDT pair above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.09 but the bears did not budge. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies.
Buyers will have to push and sustain the price above $0.09 to indicate that the selling pressure may be reducing. The pair may then ascend to the 61.8% retracement level of $0.10. Usually, a break and close above this level results in a 100% retracement. If that happens, the pair may soar to $0.11.
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) slipped below the support line of the symmetrical triangle pattern on April 12 but the long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively bought at lower levels.
MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The MATIC/USDT pair turned up and broke above the 20-day EMA ($1.11) on April 13 That may have trapped the aggressive bears, resulting in a short squeeze. The pair reached the resistance line of the triangle on April 14 where the bears are posing a strong challenge.
If bulls thrust the price above the triangle, the rally may reach the resistance at $1.30. This level may again prove to be a strong hurdle but if crossed, the up-move could reach $1.60. This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plunges below $1.08.
Related: BTC price targets see $33K next as Bitcoin eyes key resistance flip
Solana price analysis
The bulls have built upon the breakout from the downtrend line in Solana (SOL). This shows demand at higher levels.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The rising 20-day EMA ($21.74) and the RSI near the overbought zone indicate advantage to buyers. The SOL/USDT pair could rise to $27.12 where the bears may mount a strong defense. If bulls overcome this barrier, the pair may resume its climb toward $39.
On the downside, the downtrend line is the key level to watch out for. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the downtrend line to trap the aggressive bulls. The pair may then collapse to $15.28.
Polkadot price analysis
The long tail on the April 12 candlestick shows that the bulls purchased the dip to the 20-day EMA ($6.32). Polkadot (DOT) continued its northward march and broke above the downtrend line on April 13 but the bulls are facing selling at higher levels.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The DOT/USDT pair turned down from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $6.85 and the bears are trying to tug the price back below the downtrend line. If they manage to do that, the pair may drop to the 20-day EMA. A break below this level may sink the pair to the crucial support at $5.70.
Contrarily, if the price turns up and closes above $6.85, it may propel the price to the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern. If bulls pierce this overhead resistance, the pair may start a new uptrend.
Litecoin price analysis
Litecoin (LTC) turned up from the 20-day EMA ($91) on April 13, indicating that the bulls continue to view the dips as a buying opportunity.
LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls tried to strengthen their position further by pushing the price above the immediate resistance at $96 on April 14 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively selling on rallies.
If bears yank the price below the 20-day EMA, it could trap several aggressive bulls. The LTC/USDT pair may then slump to $85. On the other hand, if the price turns up and sustains above $96, it will open the gates for a potential rally to $106.
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