Bitcoin (BTC) investors are preparing for the record-breaking $16.5 billion monthly options expiry on March 28. However, the actual market impact is expected to be more limited, as BTC's drop below $90,000 caught investors off guard and invalidated many bullish positions.
This shift gives Bitcoin bears a crucial opportunity to escape a potential $3 billion loss, a factor that could significantly influence market dynamics in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin options open interest for March 28, USD. Source: Laevitas.ch
Currently, the total open interest for call (buy) options stands at $10.5 billion, while put (sell) options lag at $6 billion. However, $7.6 billion of these calls are set at $92,000 or higher, meaning Bitcoin would need a 6.4% gain from its current price to make them viable by the March 28 expiry. As a result, the advantage for bullish bets has significantly weakened.
Bitcoin bulls pray for a “decoupling” if QE restarts
Some analysts attribute Bitcoin’s weak performance to the ongoing global tariff war and US government spending cuts, which increase the risk of an economic recession. Traders worry about slower growth, particularly in the artificial intelligence sector, which had driven the S&P 500 to a record high on Feb. 19 before falling 7%.






























