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Bitcoin price rally to $42K driven by spot volumes, not BTC futures liquidations

In the past seven days, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a whopping 14.5% surge, hitting a 20-month high at $41,130 by Dec. 4. Traders and analysts have been abuzz with speculation, especially in the wake of the $100 million liquidation of short (bearish) Bitcoin futures within just 24 hours. However, when we dive into BTC derivatives data, a different story unfolds—one that places the spotlight on spot market action.

The impact of the recent liquidations in Bitcoin futures markets

While the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) trades USD-settled contracts for Bitcoin futures, where no physical Bitcoin changes hands, these futures markets undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping spot prices. The sheer scale of Bitcoin futures, with an aggregate open interest of $20 billion, underscores the keen interest of professional investors.

In the same seven-day period, a mere $200 million worth of BTC futures shorts were liquidated, representing only 1% of the total outstanding contracts. This figure pales in comparison to the substantial $190 billion in trading volume during the same timeframe.

Bitcoin futures aggregate open interest and volume, USD. Source: Coinglass

Even when focusing solely on the CME, which is known for potential trading volume inflation, its daily volume of $2.67 billion should have readily absorbed a $100 million 24-hour liquidation. This has led investors to ponder whether the recent Bitcoin rally might be attributed to the targeting of a few whales within the futures markets.

One could attempt to gauge the extent of liquidations at different price levels using tape reading techniques. However, this approach fails to consider whether whales and market makers are adequately hedged or have the capacity to deposit additional margin.

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Bitcoin price rally to $42K driven by spot volumes, not BTC futures liquidations

Bitcoin futures data counters the assumption that BTC’s rally to $42,000 was primarily propelled by shorts liquidations. What is next for BTC?

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How to prepare for the next crypto bull market: 5 simple steps

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The next bull market could kick off as soon as next year, propelled by catalysts such as the upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) halving and the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund in the United States.

In our latest Cointelegraph Report, we explain how to prepare for the next parabolic move in five simple steps.

How to prepare for the next crypto bull market: 5 simple steps

The latest Cointelegraph Report explains how to prepare for the next crypto bull run in five simple steps.

How to prepare for the next crypto bull market: 5 simple steps

The latest Cointelegraph Report explains how to prepare for the next crypto bull run in five simple steps.

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BTC price levels to watch as Bitcoin whales ‘lure’ market to $42K

Bitcoin analysis is getting more and more suspicious of the “up only” BTC price action in recent days.

BTC price levels to watch as Bitcoin whales ‘lure’ market to $42K

Bitcoin (BTC) faces sharp volatility as the new week begins with BTC price action focusing on $42,000 — can it endure?

The largest cryptocurrency, fresh from weekend gains that topped 10%, is still keeping traders guessing over its next move.

While a trip to $40,000 was well anticipated, the question now is whether or not the latest move represents the beginning of a new trend or, conversely, a new bull trap.

Appraisals currently vary widely, with bullish and bearish perspectives battling for vindication.

Cointelegraph takes a look at the most important support and resistance levels now in play after recent BTC price performance reshapes the market landscape.

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Breakout or $40K bull trap? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin surges past the key $40,000 amid a macro liquidity boost, but traders' predictions include a BTC price crash of 25% or more.

Breakout or $40K bull trap? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin (BTC) starts the first week of December looking better than it has since early 2022 — at over $40,000.

BTC price action is delighting bulls already as the month begins, with the weekly close providing the first trip above the $40,000 mark since April last year.

Shorts are getting wiped and liquidity taken as the bull run sees its latest boost on the back of macroeconomic changes and anticipation of the United States’ first spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Despite misgivings and some predicting a major price retracement, Bitcoin continues to offer little respite for sellers, who continually miss out on profits or are left waiting on the sidelines for an entry price that never comes.

The party mood is not just reflected on markets — Bitcoin miners are busy preparing for the halving, and with the hash rate already at all-time highs of its own, the trend is set to continue this week.

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