October is proving to be a solid month for Bitcoin (BTC) as the price is nearing the 2023 high at $31,805. Generally, major resistances are not cleared in the first instance as the bears come out in full force to guard the level. Therefore, a minor dip is to be expected, but that should not be considered as the start of a negative sentiment.
Buyers regroup at lower levels and try to form a higher floor. That triggers further buying and starts a rally. This is a possibility in Bitcoin but risks remain. While the cooling of the United States dollar index (DXY) is a positive sign, the weakness in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is a negative sign.
Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360Another risk to the rising cryptocurrency markets could come from the surging 10-year Treasury yield which once again rose above 5%. The rise in the yields show that the market participants are losing hope that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in the near future.
Could the frustration from the U.S. equities markets drive investors to the cryptocurrency markets? Will Bitcoin decouple from the S&P 500 Index and extend its up-move? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.
S&P 500 Index price analysis
The bears successfully held the retest of the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern in the S&P 500 Index. The failure to shove the price above the 50-day simple moving average (4,382) attracted aggressive selling by the bears.
