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Price analysis 7/12: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are again having a go at the overhead resistance of $31,000. The bullish sentiment may get a boost from the United States inflation report, which showed signs of slowing down. Economists were expecting the year-on-year consumer price index to rise 3.1% but the June print came in at 3%.

The month-on-month increase of 0.2% was also less than forecast. This suggests that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes are having the desired effect. That may limit future rate hikes by the Fed.

Supported by macroeconomic conditions, institutional investors seem to be turning positive on cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. CoinShares report published on July 10 showed inflows of $136 million into digital investment products in the past week. That brings the total inflows of three consecutive weeks to $470 million, indicating a positive outlook.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Large investors could be turning positive on Bitcoin because they anticipate a huge inflow of traditional finance money if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approves a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said in an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph that an ETF approval would unlock $30 trillion worth of capital for Bitcoin.

Could the tailwind of the positive triggers prove bullish for Bitcoin and the major altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

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Crypto scams are down 77% — but this exploit is making a huge comeback

Cryptocurrency scams have fallen a massive 77% from $3.3 billion to $1.1 billion over the first six months of 2023, according to a recent report by blockchain intelligence firm Chainalysis.

The catch, though, is that ransom attacks are back in trend, with perpetrators pocketing 62.4% more revenue than the first six months of 2022.

On July 12, Chainalysis released its Mid Year Crypto Crime report, noting it’s the second consecutive year that scam revenue has trended downwards.

The firm observed that historically, scam revenue increases in bull markets — but that hasn’t been the case so far in 2023:

“Usually, positive price movements translate to higher scam revenue, likely because increased market exuberance and FOMO make victims more susceptible to scammers’ pitches. But 2023’s drastic scam decline bucks that long-standing trend.”

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Bad news for Ripple? LBRY judge passes ruling on if secondary crypto sales are securities

Ripple may be holding its breath a bit longer after a United States District Judge refused to rule on if the secondary sale of LBRY Credits (LBC) constitutes a security.

On July 11, New Hampshire District Court Judge Paul Barbadoro made the ruling in the case the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) brought against the decentralized content platform LBRY.

The ruling may have offered legal precedent to fellow District Court Judge Analisa Torres, who is set to make a decision on the SEC’s case against Ripple in the coming months.

In his ruling, Judge Barbadoro said:

“Accordingly, I take no position on whether the registration requirement applies to secondary market offerings of LBC.”

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Cardano network activity and ADA’s oversold price action hint at a powerful breakout

Caradano’s native gas-paying token ADA received a big blow at the start of June when the SEC regarded it as a security in its lawsuit against Binance and Coinbase.

The lawsuit triggered a 42.5% drop in ADA’s price from $0.37 to a two-year low at $0.21 within a few days after SEC’s lawsuit.

Additionally, the token faced further downside selling pressure due to delisting on U.S.-based trading apps Robinhood and eToro.

However, under the hood, the network has been making progress with an uptick in DeFi activity after a scalability upgrade in May.

The technical and on-chain analysis of the token also shows potential for a positive recovery.

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Bitcoin continues dominance as 3rd week of fund inflows correct previous months’ outflows

A third straight week of positive digital asset inflows has fully corrected nine previous weeks of outflows for the market, according to a report from CoinShares published on July 10. 

This week’s inflows registered $136 million. Bitcoin (BTC) funds continued their trend of holding the anchor position, with 98% of the inflows coming from BTC. The other 2% mostly came from Ether (ETH), multi-asset holdings, and a handful of altcoins.

Source: Screenshot, CoinShares 

After nine weeks where digital asset outflows outpaced inflows, this third consecutive week of positive movement brings the current streak’s total to $470 million. According to Coinshares, this total fully corrects for the previous outflow streak.

Bitcoin inflows showed no signs of slowing down this past week after posting year-long highs in the previous two. As Cointelegraph previously reported, BTC inflows for last week were $123 million. This week adds $10 million, bringing the two-week inflow haul for BTC alone to $256 million.

This continues Bitcoin’s crypto market dominance by extending its total market cap from last week’s 51.46% to a reported 51.66% share as of July 11.

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Why is Polygon (MATIC) price up today?

Polygon (MATIC) price is up today, mirroring upside moves elsewhere in the cryptocurrency market as traders assess a mix of fundamental factors.

On July 11, the MATIC price rose 2.32% to $0.75, its highest level in a month — outperforming the crypto market, whose valuation stayed relatively unchanged from the previous day at around $1.14 trillion.

MATIC/USD daily price chart versus crypto market capitalization. Source: TradingView

New CEO, Polygon's 'decentralized governance' plans

MATIC's intraday gains come as a part of a broader price jump that started after Polygon appointed its former chief legal office, Marc Boiron, as the new chief executive officer (CEO) on July 7. Since then, MATIC/USD has gained nearly 15%.  

MATIC/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Boiron's appointment comes more than a month after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) argued that MATIC is a "security" in its lawsuits against Binance and Coinbase.

Meanwhile, the price gains also appear as Polygon prepares to implement a sequence of network upgrades as a part of its "Polygon 2.0" overhaul. Namely, the establishment of a "decentralized governance" protocol by July 17.

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China expands CBDC’s tentacles, Malaysia is HK’s new crypto rival: Asia Express

Chinese president shills CBDCs

On July 4, Xinhua News Agency, China’s state broadcaster, published a transcript of President Xi Jinping’s address to the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Summit (SCO). The SCO is one of the world’s largest regional organizations for political, economic and security cooperation, and was established by China and Russia in 2001.

During the speech, President Xi welcomed Iran as a full organisation member, and praised the move for Belarus to join. He also talked up the importance of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs):

“The Chinese side proposes to expand the share of local currency settlements of SCO countries, expand sovereign digital currency cooperation, and promote the establishment of SCO development banks.”

In January, the People’s Bank of China reported that there were 13.61 billion digital yuan (e-CNY) CBDCs in circulation, representing around 0.13% of the monetary supply. Since then, the CBDC’s use has expanded to the country’s Belt and Road Initiative, various consumer airdrops, and as a means of payment for everyday transportation. However, experts have warned that despite the constant promotion, the currency has struggled to gain traction

On July 10, local news outlet East Money reported that a SIM card linked to the e-CNY CBDC will soon be available to Chinese consumers. Because the e-CNY CBDC digital wallet is embedded in the SIM card itself, individuals can pay for their phone bills via a point-of-sale machine even if their phone has no power. 


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Social media discussions play a crucial role in influencing crypto returns: Study

A team of researchers at Pennsylvania State University recently analyzed to determine whether attitudes and emotionality surrounding cryptocurrency could help predict returns. What they found may stand in stark contrast to related financial markets. 

According to the team’s research paper, social media plays an outsized role in adoption and activity rates while cryptocurrency journalism isn’t a great predictor of market movement:

“Our findings indicate that social media sentiment significantly predicts crypto returns, while sentiment from news media does not.”

The researchers used natural language processing to analyze millions of financial news articles and social media comments and generated sentiment scores along 53 topics and attention metrics for over 300 cryptocurrencies.

They then compared the ground truth returns over a given period of time to the coinciding news and social media sentiment.

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Price analysis 7/10: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC

Bitcoin has been struggling to rise and sustain above the $31,000 level for the past few days, but Standard Chartered has painted a bullish picture for this year and the next. In a report, the bank said that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $50,000 this year and stretch the rally to $120,000 by the end of next year.

Large investors seem to be taking a bullish stance and are making the most of the stagnant Bitcoin prices. Behavioral analytics platform Santiment shows that sharks and whales, entities holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin, have increased their hoarding by 71,000 Bitcoin since mid-June.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

While the long term looks bullish, macroeconomic indicators hold the key in the short term. The United States equities market is likely to be influenced by the second-quarter earnings and the inflation data due to be released on July 12. That is likely to set the stage for a risk-on or a risk-off sentiment.

Could the S&P 500 Index (SPX) resume its rally over the next few days? Will Bitcoin and the altcoins follow the equities markets higher? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

S&P 500 Index price analysis

The bulls are trying to protect the 20-day exponential moving average (4,373) but the long wick on the July 7 candlestick shows that bears are active at higher levels.

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Bitcoin price gathers strength as SOL, AVAX, FIL and EOS prep for a breakout

Nonfarm payrolls rose by 209,000 in June, below economists’ expectations of an addition of 240,000 jobs. Although the figures show a cooling labor market, market observers remained concerned as the average hourly earnings growth held steady at 0.4% from May and 4.4% from a year ago. 

The report did not alter expectations of a 25 basis point rate hike by the United States Federal Reserve in the next meeting, according to the FedWatch Tool. That kept the U.S. equities markets under pressure, with all three major indices falling for the week. The S&P 500 was down 1.16% and the Nasdaq was lower by 0.92%.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

Another minor negative for the crypto markets was a report by JPMorgan managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, which said that a spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) may not prove to be a game changer for the crypto space. Panigirtzoglou cites lackluster interest in the spot Bitcoin ETFs in Canada and Europe as the reason for a possible low impact even in the U.S.

Could bulls regroup and kick Bitcoin above the overhead resistance? If they do, select altcoins could join the march higher. Let’s analyze the charts of top-5 cryptocurrencies that are showing signs of moving up.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin remains stuck between the 20-day exponential moving average ($29,854) and the overhead resistance at $31,000. This suggests uncertainty among the bulls and the bears about the next directional move.

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BlackRock bullish on Bitcoin, Gemini CEO’s ‘delusion,’ and CEXs’ unhappy staff: Hodler’s Digest, July 2-8

Top Stories This Week

Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, has recently delivered pro-crypto remarks, claiming “Bitcoin is an international asset” and suggesting U.S. regulators consider how an ETF directly linked to Bitcoin could democratize finance in the country. Under Fink, BlackRock has attempted to launch a spot BTC ETF with crypto exchange Coinbase acting as a surveillance partner. It’s unclear if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve the investment vehicle, given its track record of rejecting all previously filed spot BTC ETF applications to date.

Gemini files lawsuit against Digital Currency Group and Barry Silbert over Genesis and Earn program

Gemini has announced legal action against the conglomerate Digital Currency Group (DCG) and its CEO, Barry Silbert, claiming “fraud against creditors.” Genesis, a DCG subsidiary, had been the crypto lender responsible for operating an Earn program in partnership with the crypto exchange. The suit follows an open letter published by Gemini co-founder Cameron Winklevoss, which slammed Silbert for allegedly trying to play the victim card while owing over a billion dollars to Earn’s investors. “Not even Sam Bankman-Fried was capable of such delusion,” Winklevoss wrote in the letter.

Bitcoin bull run incoming: Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao reveals when

Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao has delivered his prediction for the next Bitcoin bull market. In a July 5 “ask me anything” session on Twitter, CZ gave his thoughts on the next bull run, explaining that the price of Bitcoin has historically moved in four-year bull cycles, and his best bet was that this would continue to occur. While admitting he couldn’t predict the future, Zhao emphasized the upcoming Bitcoin halving event in 2024 and declared 2025 to be the most likely year for the next bull market, stating: “The year after Bitcoin halving is usually the bull year.“

Lawmakers in the United Kingdom are moving forward with legislation aimed at expanding authorities’ ability to target cryptocurrencies used for illicit purposes. A June 27 version of the bill included provisions to allow authorities greater flexibility in the confiscation and civil recovery of crypto assets. In addition, the legislation clarified the government’s authority over digital assets “intended to be used for the purposes of terrorism” or related reasons. The lawmakers will consider all amendments to the bill before it can be made law by royal assent.

Binance, Coinbase and Gemini staff are among the least happy, data suggests

According to a quadrant chart by tech recruitment firm TrueUp using data from Glassdoor, crypto exchanges, including Gemini, Binance and Coinbase, are home to some of the least happy employees in the industry. The chart shows the happiest and least happy workers across over 27 of most valuable crypto firms on different stages of maturity. The defunct crypto lender Celsius, crypto exchange Gemini and trading firm Amber Group top the list of least satisfied employees, followed by Binance and Coinbase. Binance said its “hardcore” work culture could explain some of the results, while Crypto Recruit founder Neil Dundon warned that the data should be taken with a grain of salt.


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Elon Musk's lawyers respond to motion to kick Tesla team off Dogecoin case: ‘waste of this court’s time’

Lawyers representing Elon Musk and Tesla asked a United States district court judge to toss out a motion to have them sanctioned over alleged conflicts of interest in a $258 billion lawsuit alleging Musk participated in an illegal racketeering scheme related to the Dogecoin cryptocurrency.

In a filing dated July 6, Musk and Tesla’s team responded to the June 25 motion filed by Evan Spencer, a lawyer representing the plaintiffs in the case against Musk.

Spencer referred to the defendants’ lawyers as “yes men” in his filing and asked the judge to declare it a conflict of interest for the team to represent both Musk and Tesla. “Defense counsel is acting in this case as concurrent representatives of both Defendants,” reads the complaint, “while their real loyalty is to Elon Musk alone.”

Related: Elon Musk accuses Mark Zuckerberg of cheating: Twitter vs. Threads

The legal team representing Musk and Tesla minced no words in their response, referring to Spencer’s motion as “unsubstantiated” and “frivolous” three times in the table of contents alone.

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Price analysis 7/7: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

Bitcoin is still struggling to stay above $31,000.

While a tight consolidation near the overhead resistance is a positive sign, the failure to rise above it may result in short-term liquidations. However, a shallow pullback should not be considered a trend change because, many times, the bulls take a step back to regroup and launch another attack at the resistance. If the barrier is overcome, the positive momentum picks up.

Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao said in an “ask me anything” session on Twitter that Bitcoin (BTC) could witness a bull year after its halving in 2024. CZ added that BlackRock’s foray into cryptocurrencies will be “hugely beneficial” for the industry.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink made positive comments about Bitcoin while speaking in an interview with Fox Business on July 5. Fink said that Bitcoin was an “international asset not based on any one currency,” and investors could use it as a hedge against inflation or currency devaluation.

Could positive comments from Fink act as a floor during pullbacks? What are the important overhead resistance levels in Bitcoin and altcoins that need to be crossed to signal the start of a short-term up move? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

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How Argentina’s inflation is helping altcoins and the crypto market

On today’s Macro Markets show, veteran stock market and Cointelegraph analyst Marcel Pechman starts by analyzing Argentina’s 150% inflation, which proves that people continue to work and consume (somehow) even if their local currency loses its value.

What is the lesson here? For starters, everyone wants free money. That explains why altcoins and airdrops continue to attract attention, regardless of whether the majority of investors end up being unprofitable.

You might think that those investors would quickly learn their lesson, but in reality, quite the opposite occurs. All it takes is a new marketing strategy — a new way of promising free money — just like the Argentines have a tendency to forget the mess the governments have caused over the course of 10 years.

For Pechman, the bottom line is: Forget any promise of free money or dividends that don’t come explicitly from economic activity.

The show’s next segment covers the topic most loved by economists: the inverted yield curve. This event happens when shorter-dated Treasurys have higher returns than longer-term ones, suggesting the United States Federal Reserve will hurt the economy.

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Why Coin Stories’ Natalie Brunell doesn’t want a Bitcoin ATH anytime soon: Hall of Flame

Coin Stories host Natalie Brunell — who has 302,600 followers on Twitter — recalls feeling very tense before meeting with Salvadoran President and Bitcoin maximalist Nayib Bukele in March 2022.

“It was very formal, there were guards outside his office. What is funny is it felt very formal outside of his actual office. Then you walk in, and he’s very warm, very gracious and very humble,” she says.

Brunell was blown away by Bukele’s knowledge of Bitcoin.

“He was very educated and well-read on the topic of Bitcoin and economic theory, and he seemed to genuinely want positive change for his country through expanding monetary freedom.”

Brunell, who is also the host of the Hard Money show, took an unconventional approach to get the meeting, relying on the power of memes suggesting Bitcoiners will all end up working at McDonald’s every time the price goes down — so she put out a call on Twitter asking which McDonald’s she could find Bukele at.


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Barnbridge DAO calls halt to ‘all work’ on DeFi protocol amid SEC probe

BarnBridge DAO members have been told to pause “all work” related to the project after a reported probe by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

In a July 6 post to the platform’s Discord channel, Douglas Park, a lawyer for the decentralized autonomous organization revealed the news to members.

“I am letting you know that the Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating Barnbridge DAO and individuals associated with the DAO,” Park said.

In order to “reduce potential further legal liability,” Park suggested “all work” on BarnBridge-related products should stop — including the closure of liquidity pools — and that individuals should not receive compensation for work flowing from the investment efforts of the DAO.

Co-founder Tyler Ward, presumably dubbed “Lord Tyler” on Discord, confirmed Park’s message was true on BarnBridge’s Discord shortly after.

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Scientists created a crypto portfolio management AI trained with on-chain data

A pair of researchers from the University of Tsukuba in Japan recently built an AI-powered cryptocurrency portfolio management system that utilizes on-chain data for training, the first of its kind according to the scientists. 

Called CryptoRLPM, short for “Cryptocurrency reinforcement learning portfolio manager,” the AI system utilizes a training technique called “reinforcement learning" to implement on-chain data into its model.

Reinforcement learning (RL) is an optimization paradigm wherein an AI system interacts with its environment — in this case, a cryptocurrency portfolio — and updates its training based on reward signals.

CryptoRLPM applies feedback from RL throughout its architecture. The system is structured into five primary units which work together to process information and manage structured portfolios.

These modules include a Data Feed Unit, Data Refinement Unit, Portfolio Agent Unit, Live Trading Unit, and an Agent Updating Unit.


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Bitcoin forks BCH, BSC and XEC soared last month, but are the gains organic and sustainable?

The start of June saw negative price action across the cryptocurrency market after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission brought fresh lawsuits against the world’s largest exchanges, Binance and Coinbase.

However, the sentiment quickly turned bullish after a crucial exchange-traded fund proposal was filed by the world’s largest asset management firm, BlackRock, on June 16. A wave of ETF fillings and institutional trading interest in digital assets followed BlackRock’s ETF filling.

The launch of EDX Markets backed by Wall Street giants Fidelity Investments, Citadel Securities, and Charles Schwab on June 20 fueled a particular sector of the market in Bitcoin forks like Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Bitcoin SV (BSV) and other proof-of-work (PoW) cryptocurrencies like Kaspa (KAS).

The exchange debuted with Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC) and BCH. The inclusion of BCH catalyzed an uptrend across other Bitcoin forks.

Among the top gainers in June, three Bitcoin forks populated the list, followed by Kaspa and FLEX Coin (FLEX). FLEX benefited from its integration with Open Exchange, backed by co-founders of the bankrupt Three Arrows Capital digital fund.

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Top 5 dog-themed cryptocurrencies by market cap

Barking with community-driven enthusiasm and bone-rattling potential, dog-themed coins are forming a pack on the stage of emerging digital assets. In recent years, the cryptocurrency world has witnessed a surge in the popularity of dog-themed digital assets. These endearing tokens, which drew inspiration from the popular Doge meme, have swept the cryptocurrency industry by storm, enthralling both investors and enthusiasts.

While Dogecoin (DOGE) holds the reins as the pioneer in this pack, other dog-themed coins have also emerged as formidable contenders, boasting impressive market capitalization and dedicated communities. It’s a testament to the power of cute and lighthearted memes to bring people together within the dynamic and ever-evolving crypto landscape.

Despite their seemingly playful nature, these tokens prove that the crypto world has a knack for uniting individuals around assets that may not have an obvious practical purpose but capture the collective imagination.

Below are the top five dog-themed cryptocurrencies based on their market capitalization. However, please note that due to the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market, the rankings of the tokens discussed in this article are subject to change.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

In 2013, Dogecoin (DOGE) was launched as a meme-inspired cryptocurrency featuring the image of a Shiba Inu, a seated Japanese dog breed, with its paws folded over each other. It relies on a scrypt algorithm and offers features such as low prices and unlimited supply. While initially created as a satire of the cryptocurrency hype, Dogecoin has evolved into a unique altcoin with a vibrant community.

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Super Mario: Crypto Thief, SEGA blockchain game, AI games rights fight — Web3 Gamer

Valve allows AI content on Steam

Game developers can use AI-generated content in games listed on Steam. But only if it isn’t generated using copyright-infringing content.

That’s the official line from Valve, the creators of game publishing platform Steam, which it made in response to a June Reddit post that’s been making the rounds about a developer who had his game rejected by Steam for using AI.

Developer Artoonu, who specializes in creating NSFW games (think furries and hentai), said the company asked him to “affirmatively confirm that you own the rights to all of the IP used in the data set that trained the AI to create the assets in your game” for it to be accepted, which is an impossible ask.

Valve, it seems, is worried about the legal implications of hosting AI-generated content. And perhaps they should be. Artists are furious about the fact that AI image generators are trained on their work. ChatGPT pulls massive amounts of data from the web, much of which is copyrighted. Recordings of voice artists from years ago have been dug up and are being used by companies to train AI voice models without their explicit consent.

Valve spokesperson Kaci Boyle told Gizmodo this week that the introduction of AI was making it harder to show that a developer has sufficient IP rights when they use AI to create assets, including images, text, and music.

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