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$8K dive or $22K rebound? Bitcoin traders anticipate Q1 BTC price action

Anything could happen in the coming weeks and months when Bitcoin attempts to break out of its post-FTX trading range.

$8K dive or $22K rebound? Bitcoin traders anticipate Q1 BTC price action

Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching the end of 2022 at levels not seen in over two years — what do traders think will happen next?

BTC price reeling from USD strength

Currently down 15% in Q4 and over 60% year-to-date, BTC/USD has few bullish allies as 2023 looms.

Struggling to recover from the ongoing FTX scandal and associated fallout, the largest cryptocurrency giving back all the gains seen since late 2020 is indicative of the crypto market as a whole.

Risk assets are in a precious position themselves, as Cointelegraph reported, while eyes are also on the strength of the U.S. dollar going into the new year.

Cointelegraph takes a look at the diverging opinions among some popular traders when it comes to what BTC price action could do in Q1, 2023.

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Investors seek to sell FTX, Celsius, BlockFi, Voyager claims

Hedge funds and debt investors have already purchased some of the claims.

Ethereum needs to defend $1,180 to sustain this 50-day ascending pattern

ETH price bulls struggle as futures remain trading below its fair value, signaling excessive demand for shorts.

Ethereum needs to defend $1,180 to sustain this 50-day ascending pattern

Ether (ETH) has been ranging near $1,200 since Dec. 17, but an ascending trend has been quietly gaining strength after 50 consecutive days.

The pattern points to $1,330 or higher by March 2023, making it essential for bulls to defend the current $1,180 support.

Ether/USD 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView

The anxiously awaited migration to a Proof of Stake in September 2022 paved the way for additional layer-2 integration and lower transaction costs overall. Layer-2 technologies such as Optimistic Rollups have the potential to improve Ethereum scalability by 100x and provide off-chain network storage.

Developers anticipate that the network upgrades scheduled for 2023 introducing large portable data bundles can boost the capacity of rollups by up to 100x. Moreover, in December 2021, Vitalik Buterin shared that the end game was for Ethereum to act as a base layer, with users "storing their assets in a ZK-rollup (zero knowledge) running a full Ethereum Virtual Machine."

An unexpected move negatively affecting the competing smart chain platform Solana (SOL) has likely helped to fuel Ethereum investors' expectations.

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FTX founder reportedly cashes out $684K after being released on bail

SBF has allegedly cashed out $684,000 from a crypto exchange in Seychelles while being under house arrest, according to an on-chain investigation.

FTX founder reportedly cashes out $684K after being released on bail

SBF has allegedly cashed out $684,000 from a crypto exchange in Seychelles while being under house arrest, according to an on-chain investigation.

Nic Carter dives into proof-of-reserves, ranks exchange attestations

Crypto trading platforms Kraken and BitMEX topped the proof-of-reserves score list, while Binance received a low score for being incomplete.

Nic Carter dives into proof-of-reserves, ranks exchange attestations

Crypto trading platforms Kraken and BitMEX topped the proof-of-reserves score list, while Binance received a low score for being incomplete.

Solana joins ranks of FTT, LUNA with SOL price down 97% from peak — Is a rebound possible?

Solana (SOL), the cryptocurrency once supported by Sam Bankman-Fried, pared some losses on Dec. 30, a day after falling to its lowest level since February 2021.

Solana price down 97% from November 2021 peak 

On the daily chart, SOL's price rebounded to around $10.25, up over 20% from its previous day's low of approximately $8. 

SOL/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, the intraday recovery did little to offset the overall bear trend — down 97% from its record peak of $267.50 in November 2021, and down over 20% in the past week. 

But while the year has been brutal for markets, Solana now joins the ranks of the worst-performing tokens of 2022, namely FTX Token and LUNA, which are down around 98%. 

FTT (red) vs. LUNA (green) vs. SOL (blue) performance since November 2021. Source: TradingView

SOL price could recover 50%

However, the latest Solana price rebound hints at the possibility of more upside heading into 2023.

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Solana joins ranks of FTT, LUNA with SOL price down 97% from peak — Is a rebound possible?

Solana (SOL), the cryptocurrency once supported by Sam Bankman-Fried, pared some losses on Dec. 30, a day after falling to its lowest level since February 2021.

Solana price down 97% from November 2021 peak 

On the daily chart, SOL's price rebounded to around $10.25, up over 20% from its previous day's low of approximately $8. 

SOL/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, the intraday recovery did little to offset the overall bear trend — down 97% from its record peak of $267.50 in November 2021, and down over 20% in the past week. 

But while the year has been brutal for markets, Solana now joins the ranks of the worst-performing tokens of 2022, namely FTX Token and LUNA, which are down around 98%. 

FTT (red) vs. LUNA (green) vs. SOL (blue) performance since November 2021. Source: TradingView

SOL price could recover 50%

However, the latest Solana price rebound hints at the possibility of more upside heading into 2023.

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SBF met with Biden's senior advisors 2 months before FTX collapse: Report

The FTX founder met with senior White House officials at least four times in 2022.

Turkey’s central bank completes first CBDC test with more to come in 2023

After recently completing its first payment transactions using a CBDC, the central bank is pushing ahead with more tests over 2023.

Turkey’s central bank completes first CBDC test with more to come in 2023

After recently completing its first payment transactions using a CBDC, the central bank is pushing ahead with more tests over 2023.

Mike Novogratz calls Helios a 'transformative acquisition' for Galaxy

The Galaxy CEO seems unfazed by the carnage in the BTC mining sector this year, and outlined that the firm is looking to significantly ramp up its mining initiatives.

The 10 largest crypto hacks and exploits in 2022 saw $2.1B stolen

Just the top 10 major cryptocurrency exploits garnered over $2 billion for malicious actors in a year that was marred with bankruptcies and collapses.

False alarm: DOJ did not classify MNGO as a commodity

Avi Eisenberg’s arrest on commodities fraud charges for the Mango Markets exploit raised eyebrows on crypto Twitter and required some processing to work through its intricacies.

Dogecoin devs deny rumor of immediate PoS switch following community concern

The denial was made after critics said the team was going to “kill scrypt miners.”

Dogecoin devs deny rumor of immediate PoS switch following community concern

The developers of Dogecoin (DOGE) have denied rumors that the network is immediately switching to proof-of-stake (PoS), saying that they are merely planning to release a proposal on the topic. The repudiation came on Dec. 29, from the Twitter account of Michi Lumin, Principal Engineer for the Dogecoin Foundation.

Lumin stated that the Dogecoin Foundation does not have the power to upgrade the network without the consent of validators, explaining:

“It is not possible for, nor is it planned for, an individual, organization, or body to "move" or ‘shift’ or ‘change’ #dogecoin to PoS. All that can be done is: it can be outlined, perhaps coded, and given to the community (and validators) to decide to take up or not[…]the repeated sensationalist (to get views/follows) refrain of people saying that #dogecoin ‘is moving to PoS’ is ridiculous, and absolutely not how it works or can work. It will not and can not be done by edict, or force…”

The denial comes after the Rabid Mining Youtube channel had published a video on Dec. 28 titled “What if Dogecoin Moves to PoS?” It was shared on Twitter and Reddit with the comment, “DOGECOIN's Merge To POS Will Kill Scrypt Miners profits by over 60%.”

The video did not say that the Dogecoin team could change the network by “force.” However, it mentioned that “it looks like the Dogecoin Foundation actually has Vitalik on the board as an advisor, and they have it stated that they’re gonna move to proof-of-stake.” The video cautioned miners not to invest in scrypt miners because “all scrypt miners are gonna die” once Dogecoin adopts PoS.

Prosecutors unlikely to offer Sam Bankman-Fried a favorable plea deal, says lawyer

Former FTX CEO may not be able to offset the two counts of wire fraud and six counts of conspiracy he faces with the credits by entering a guilty plea.

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