Decentral Block Post

The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart from the past couple of months reflects nothing more than a bearish outlook and it’s no secret that the cryptocurrency has consistently made lower lows since breaching $48,000 in late March.

Curiously, the difference in support levels has been getting wider as the correction continues to drain investor confidence and risk appetite. For example, the latest $19,000 baseline is almost $10,000 away from the previous support. So if the same movement is bound to happen, the next logical price level would be $8,000.

Traders are afraid of regulation and contagion

On July 11, the Financial Stability Board (FSB), a global financial regulator including all G20 countries, announced that a framework of recommendations for the crypto sector is expected in October. The FSB added that international regulators need to supervise crypto markets in line with the principle of “same activity, same risk, same regulation.”

In a written speech on July 12, Jon Cunliffe, deputy governor for financial stability at the Bank of England, said that crypto is somehow over and it should not be a concern anymore. Cunliffe added: “innovation has to happen within a framework in which risks are managed.”

To date, investors still haven’t figured out the total losses from deposits on crypto lenders Celsius and Voyager Digital, and both firms continue to seek either a recovery plan or bankruptcy. According to Voyager, the firm still holds $650 million worth of “claims against Three Arrows Capital,” so the exact numbers of customer assets remain unknown.

The United States Consumer Price Index soared to 9.1% in June, exceeding expectations of an 8.8% rise year-on-year. Currently, the Fed funds futures point to an 81 basis points rate hike for July, suggesting that some participants anticipate a 100 basis points hike.

Several on-chain indicators have been pointing to a likely bottom in Bitcoin (BTC) but the analysts from market intelligence firm Glassnode are not convinced that the low has been made. In “The Week On-Chain” report on July 11, the analysts said that the market may have to fall further “to fully test investor resolve, and enable the market to establish a resilient bottom.”

While the short term remains bearish, strategists are confident about its long-term prospects. CoinShares chief strategy officer Meltem Demirors said on CNBC that Bitcoin may extend its “downward correction” in the near term but it is likely to make a new all-time high “in the next 24 months.”

What are the important levels on Bitcoin and the major altcoins that could arrest the decline? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin dropped back to the support line of the symmetrical triangle on July 12, indicating that the break above the triangle on July 7 may have been a bull trap.

There is an old saying, “cash is king,” but if it is sitting in a bank account or, in the case of crypto — a wallet, it diminishes daily due to inflation. This is especially the case now as inflation in the United States breaks its 40-year record. While the dollar-cost-averaging (DCA) strategy allows an investor to minimize the effects of volatility by purchasing an unstable asset in time intervals, inflation still causes a decrease in a target asset’s value over time. 

For instance, Solana (SOL) has a pre-set protocol inflation rate of 8%, and if the yield is not generated through farming or utilizing decentralized finance (DeFi), one’s holdings are depreciating at a rate of 8% per year.

However, despite the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) increasing by 17.3% in a year, as of July 13, 2022, the hopes of receiving significant returns in the bull market are still pushing investors to engage with volatile assets.

In the upcoming “Blockchain Adoption and Use Cases: Finding Solutions in Surprising Ways” report, Cointelegraph Research will dig deeper into different solutions that will help to resist inflation in the bear market.

Download and purchase reports on the Cointelegraph Research Terminal.