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Bitcoin Santa Claus rally unlikely, according to on-chain and derivatives data

Data suggests that BTC’s rally to $18,300 is the only Santa Claus rally Bitcoin will see before the year ends.

Bitcoin Santa Claus rally unlikely, according to on-chain and derivatives data

As the coldest days of the crypto winter set in, investors’ speculative interest in the crypto market has fallen to pre-2021 levels, impairing the chance of a substantial directional price move. However, there’s a possibility of a bear market rally akin to the July through August 2022 uptrend.

The market enters a state of limbo

The FTX implosion impacted over 5 million users globally and adversely affected numerous crypto companies that were exposed to it. The industry is currently in a recovery mode and Cumberland, a U.S.-based crypto market broker, recently echoed this narrative in a tweet. The firm noted that "dozens of crypto companies are either severely curtailed or out of business, and the industry's future is as cloudy as ever."

Data suggests that building a sustainable bullish move will be challenging because the market is pushed back to a low liquidity and volatility regime.

Crypto analytics firm, Glassnode, reported “depressing” futures volumes for Bitcoin and Ethereum, tracing back to pre-2021 levels when Bitcoin’s price surpassed $20,000 for the first time.

Bitcoin (orange) and Ethereum (blue) futures trading volume. Source: Glassnode

The open interest volume of Bitcoin and Ethereum futures has dropped significantly toward mid-2022 levels, which was after the collapse of Luna-UST. The BTC and ETH leverage ratio indicator, which measures the ratio between open interest volume, is currently down to 2.5% and 3.1%.

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New York State issues guidance for banks seeking to engage in activities with crypto

The state, a notoriously demanding regulator of the industry, has released detailed guidelines for banks’ applications; some licensed banks may have to play catchup.

Amber Group acquires cryptocurrency platform Sparrow exchange: report

The news comes after Amber Group reportedly pulled back expansion plans due to financial exposure in the FTX collapse.

US Trustee names Wintermute on creditor committee in FTX bankruptcy case

The committee would play a role in representing creditors who lost funds or were otherwise affected by the downfall of FTX, reported to be one million people.

How hard has this bear market been for Bitcoin mining? Watch Market Talks on Cointelegraph

Join us as we discuss the current state of the crypto market, particularly in terms of the current bear market and Bitcoin mining. Hosting the show will be Ray Salmond, head of markets at Cointelegraph, and our special guest this week is Drew Vosk.

Ethics 101: Should crypto projects ever negotiate with hackers?

“A highly profitable trading strategy” was how hacker Avraham Eisenberg described his involvement in the Mango Markets exploit that occurred on Oct. 11.

By manipulating the price of the decentralized finance protocol’s underlying collateral, MNGO, Eisenberg and his team took out infinite loans that drained $117 million from the Mango Markets Treasury. 

Desperate for the return of funds, developers and users alike voted for a proposal that would allow Eisenberg and co. to keep $47 million of the $117 million exploited in the attack. Astonishingly, Eisenberg was able to vote for his own proposal with all his exploited tokens.

This is something of a legal gray area, as code is law, and if you can work within the smart contract’s rules, there’s an argument saying it’s perfectly legal. Although “hack” and “exploit” are often used interchangeably, no actual hacking occurred. Eisenberg tweeted he was operating within the law:

“I believe all of our actions were legal open market actions, using the protocol as designed, even if the development team did not fully anticipate all the consequences of setting parameters the way they are.”

The Mango Markets $47 million settlement received 96.6% of the votes

Ethics 101: Should crypto projects ever negotiate with hackers?

“A highly profitable trading strategy” was how hacker Avraham Eisenberg described his involvement in the Mango Markets exploit that occurred on Oct. 11.

By manipulating the price of the decentralized finance protocol’s underlying collateral, MNGO, Eisenberg and his team took out infinite loans that drained $117 million from the Mango Markets Treasury. 

Desperate for the return of funds, developers and users alike voted for a proposal that would allow Eisenberg and co. to keep $47 million of the $117 million exploited in the attack. Astonishingly, Eisenberg was able to vote for his own proposal with all his exploited tokens.

This is something of a legal gray area, as code is law, and if you can work within the smart contract’s rules, there’s an argument saying it’s perfectly legal. Although “hack” and “exploit” are often used interchangeably, no actual hacking occurred. Eisenberg tweeted he was operating within the law:

“I believe all of our actions were legal open market actions, using the protocol as designed, even if the development team did not fully anticipate all the consequences of setting parameters the way they are.”

The Mango Markets $47 million settlement received 96.6% of the votes

Ethics 101: Should crypto projects ever negotiate with hackers?

“A highly profitable trading strategy” was how hacker Avraham Eisenberg described his involvement in the Mango Markets exploit that occurred on Oct. 11.

By manipulating the price of the decentralized finance protocol’s underlying collateral, MNGO, Eisenberg and his team took out infinite loans that drained $117 million from the Mango Markets Treasury. 

Desperate for the return of funds, developers and users alike voted for a proposal that would allow Eisenberg and co. to keep $47 million of the $117 million exploited in the attack. Astonishingly, Eisenberg was able to vote for his own proposal with all his exploited tokens.

This is something of a legal gray area, as code is law, and if you can work within the smart contract’s rules, there’s an argument saying it’s perfectly legal. Although “hack” and “exploit” are often used interchangeably, no actual hacking occurred. Eisenberg tweeted he was operating within the law:

“I believe all of our actions were legal open market actions, using the protocol as designed, even if the development team did not fully anticipate all the consequences of setting parameters the way they are.”

The Mango Markets $47 million settlement received 96.6% of the votes

Mysterious initial deposit allegations surface after Binance token delisting announcement

Users initially panned Mithril's return of deposit allegation until an original Binance listing document came to light that raised further questions.

BTC price levels to watch as Bitcoin dives below $17.5K post-FOMC

Bitcoin is rapidly taking out near-term support levels as an FOMC comedown sees BTC price grab liquidity.

BTC price levels to watch as Bitcoin dives below $17.5K post-FOMC

Bitcoin (BTC) is trending down after hitting one-month highs around the latest macroeconomic data and policy update from the United States.

Having topped out at around $18,370 on Bitstamp on Dec. 14, BTC/USD is now giving back its gains, leading traders to eye where the next reversal may occur.

Opinions differ — some warn that support levels for bulls to hold are already tumbling, while others believe that recent events are just another dot on the path to much lower levels.

Cointelegraph takes a look at what some popular commentators are looking next for when it comes to short-term BTC price action.

Michaël van de Poppe: $17,200 must hold for shot at $20,000

Having called the macro market reaction to the Federal Reserve “relatively boring” this week, Michaël van de Poppe, CEO and founder of trading firm Eight, says support levels are already close for BTC/USD.

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Blockchain indexer The Graph says adoption is still strong two years after mainnet launch

More than 10,000 delegators have since joined the blockchain indexing network.

Hong Kong crypto futures ETFs raise over $70M ahead of debut

The CSOP Bitcoin Futures ETF has raked in $53.8 million while the CSOP Ether Futures ETF has collected $19.7 million in initial investments.

Microsoft bans cryptocurrency mining on cloud services

Microsoft now requires users to obtain a written pre-approval from the firm in order to use Microsoft Azure for mining cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

France may oblige crypto platforms to obtain licenses

French Parliament will discuss the amendment, canceling the favorable treatment of crypto companies, in January 2023.

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