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Bitcoin price fills CME futures gap but forecasts say $25K may be next

Bitcoin (BTC) hit new intraday lows on April 21 as traders warned that $25,000 might come next.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Trader: $25,000 BTC price would be “absolutely fine”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD struggling to preserve $28,000 as support on Bitstamp.

The pair looked “weak,” in the words of one analyst, as overnight events failed to resurrect any sign of its previous uptrend.

Amid local lows of $27,828, prognoses for Bitcoin now focused on a potential return to the area around a key trend line.

“Bitcoin testing our key local demand at 28k and not getting the best reaction. If this level is lost, 25-26k is likely tested but this is no cause for concern,” Credible Crypto summarized alongside a YouTube video.

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3AC cooks up a storm, Bitcoin miner surges 360%, Bruce Lee NFTs dive: Asia Express

Our weekly roundup of news from East Asia curates the industry’s most important developments.

Three Arrows Capital (3AC), a once bourgeoning Singaporean hedge fund worth an estimated $10 billion at is peak, was utterly obliterated by the bear market last year. However, the carnival it has created since the initial blowup still lives on, and its main characters appear to be doing quite well, too.

One of 3AC co-founders, Kyle Davies, appears to have finally found some solace from the experience. After much turmoil, the former hedge fund manager has now transitioned into an aspiring restauranteur fixated on one task — perfecting the art of cooking chicken.

Kyle Davies chopping up … nothing for some reason. (Twitter)

Any seasoned chef would know that cooking a tender, well-seasoned, juicy, and crispy-skinned chicken is a rather exquisite skill. To perfect it, one needs to maintain a razor-sharp focus on the meat while techniques are applied, which requires cutting out distractions — such as focusing on negative feelings related to creditors trying to claim $3.5 billion from 3AC’s bankruptcy — during the performance.

Generally speaking, chefs don’t like customers who are rude. Which is why when a user suggested on Apr. 14 to review-bomb Davies’ new Dubai restaurant, the now professional cook immediately threatened legal action against individuals who post “intentionally false reviews and defamation against my restaurant.”

Kyle Davies
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Bitcoin ignores US jobs data as BTC price dip puts $28K support at risk

Bitcoin (BTC) recovered from new 10-day lows at the April 20 Wall Street open as the United States jobs data boosted investor confidence.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

BTC price: “Lights out” at $28,000?

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD reversing upward after hitting $28,360 on Bitstamp.

Amid an ongoing correction, the pair nonetheless failed to reclaim even $29,000 as support as U.S. unemployment data hinted that tighter financial conditions were working to cool inflation.

Spot gold became the main risk asset beneficiary, climbing back above $2,000 on the day.

XAU/USD 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView

U.S. equities opened higher but subsequently reversed their uptick, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index down 0.6%.

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Here’s how Ethereum’s ZK-rollups can become interoperable

The past few weeks have seen a wave of zero-knowledge proof project launches, including Polygon’s zkEVM and Matter Lab’s zkSync Era on mainnet, and the Linea zkEVM from ConsenSys on testnet.

They join StarkWare’s long-running StarkEx solution and its decentralized cousin StarkNet along with a variety of other projects in development from Polygon (Miden, Zero, etc.) and Scroll.

They all promise faster and cheaper transactions to scale Ethereum using zero-knowledge proofs.

But is the brutal competition between ZK-rollups a zero-sum game where there can be only one winner? Or are we looking at a future in which lots of different rollups are able to work in harmony and interoperably?

Anthony Rose, head of engineering for zkSync, thinks the latter future is much more likely and predicts that one day, no one will think about which ZK-rollup they are on because it’ll all just be infrastructure. 

Magazine zkevm
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Bitcoin at key point with BTC price at $28.8K — Bollinger Bands creator

Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $29,000 into April 20 as bulls faced a battle for ground reclaimed in March.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Will $30,000 become Bitcoin's latest "Bart Simpson"?

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD heading to $28,800 on Bitstamp.

Earlier wicks below $28,600 were quickly bought up, but Bitcoin still threatened to flip $29,000 to resistance on the day, as traders eyed a crucial support zone.

“Whilst the Bitcoin market is correcting, we still have the average transactor taking profits,” Checkmate, lead on-chain analyst at Glassnode, wrote in part of Twitter analysis.

“To me, this indicates that chips are still being taken off the table, and we don’t yet have a flush out of top buyers in full (like March).”


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Dogecoin soared 23,000% in 2021 — Is history starting to repeat for DOGE price?

The price of Dogecoin (DOGE) has almost doubled after bottoming out at $0.0491 in June 2022, alongside a similar recovery across the cryptocurrency market.

On April 20, DOGE was trading for as high as $0.0942, up around 94% versus last year’s bottom. But despite its impressive rebound, its price is still 88% below its all-time high of $0.76 set in May 2021. Thus, the DOGE/USD pair remains far from establishing a decisive bullish reversal on longer timeframes.

DOGE/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

Dogecoin price soared over 23,000% in 2021 primarily due to Elon Musk’s vocal support. Ironically, DOGE/USD topped after Musk called it a “hustle” during his Saturday Night Live appearance in May 2021.

DOGE price entered a prolonged long bearish cycle, furthered by the prospects of the Fed tightening (leading to actual interest rate cuts in 2022 and 2023). Also, the collapse of multiple leading crypto firms, such as Terra (LUNA), Three Arrow Capital, FTX, etc., exacerbated the DOGE selloff. 

October 2022 saw a 100% price rebound despite the multi-month downtrend. The recovery coincided with Musk’s shaky takeover of Twitter amid hopes that DOGE would become the social media platform’s official payment token. 

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Can Bitcoin reclaim $30K? Watch these BTC price levels next

Bitcoin (BTC) fought to regain lost ground at the April 19 Wall Street open as traders called for calm on the day’s downside.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

“Unusual” spot sell triggers BTC price suspicion

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView monitored BTC/USD as it crawled toward $29,500 on Bitstamp.

The pair had shed $1,000 in minutes earlier on the day as over $200 million in long liquidations accompanied a return below $30,000.

Reactions subsequently linked the price action, which originated in a 16,000-BTC market sell on Binance, to a potential forthcoming news event, this ultimately failing to materialize at the time of writing.

Market participants thus remained level-headed, arguing that important support levels were still present amid a healthy retracement.


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From SNL and The Tonight Show to Sotheby’s:  NFT Creator Bryan Brinkman

Bryan Brinkman (of SNL and The Tonight Show) reveals that the secret to being a successful NFT creator involves spending just one-third of the time on art.

Forget BTC price: The Bitcoin mining boom is quietly going parabolic

Bitcoin (BTC) may be struggling at $30,000, but under the hood, all-time highs of a different kind keep coming.

The latest data shows that Bitcoin network fundamentals — difficulty and hash rate — will hit new records this week.

Bitcoin mining difficulty, hash rate refuse to slow down

Bitcoin’s 2023 recovery has been about more than just BTC price action, with miners seeing a significant turnaround of their own.

As BTC/USD added 70% in Q1 alone, pressured mining participants saw some much-needed relief after the bear market squeezed profit margins to practically zero.

The comeback for miners is evident in difficulty, which among other things, reflects competition for block subsidies.

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BTC price dives 3% in minutes as ‘deep correction’ grips crypto market

Bitcoin (BTC) abruptly reversed gains on April 19 as a cascade of long liquidations sent BTC/USD plummeting lower.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin sees "beautiful" retracement

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed the pair as it made lows of $29,015 on Bitstamp. 

The sudden move followed an equally strong rebound above the $30,000 mark the day prior, with bulls ultimately unable to preserve higher levels.

As volatility returned, Bitcoin thus fell to its lowest since April 10 as the upside saw its latest challenge.

“Deep correction on the markets, as Bitcoin can’t hold at $29,700-29,800 and shoots downwards through a cascade of liquidations,“ Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, reacted.

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Bitcoin price struggles to hold above $30K amid regulatory uncertainty

Bitcoin (BTC) price reclaimed the $30,000 support on April 18 after briefly testing $29,130 on the previous day. However, traders question whether the recovery is sustainable given the increased regulatory scrutiny, especially in the United States. 

Bitcoin price in USD, 4-hour. Source: TradingView

Rostin Behnam, the Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), said on April 14 that Binance intentionally broke U.S. rules concerning futures and commodities trading. For example, knowingly allowing U.S. citizens to participate on the exchange through the use of obfuscation tools. The comments stem from the CFTC’s March 27 lawsuit against Binance and its CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao for alleged trading violations.

Also on April 14, in an open meeting with U.S. Securities and Exchange commissioners and staff, SEC Chair Gary Gensler said the agency will be revisiting the proposed redefinition of an “exchange”. The SEC intends to bring certain brokers under additional regulatory scrutiny, and explicitly include decentralized applications.

On April 17, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) charged crypto asset trading platform Bittrex and former CEO William Shihara for operating an unregistered securities exchange, broker, and clearing agency. Separately, Bittrex Global is being charged for operating a shared order book with Bittrex.

Bittrex had already announced its intention of closing down U.S. operations on April 30 after reportedly receiving a Wells Notice in March warning about the impending regulatory action.

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MicroStrategy’s stock price more than doubles in 2023 in lockstep with Bitcoin

MicroStrategy’s bold Bitcoin (BTC) investment strategy is playing out profitably so far into 2023.

Today, MicroStrategy’s stock, MSTR, is up roughly 140% year-to-date (YTD) to $350 per share, its highest level since September last year. It mirrored Bitcoin’s 90% YTD gains, maintaining a strong positive correlation with the top cryptocurrency.

MSTR daily price chart featuring its daily correlation with BTC. Source: TradingView

Proxy Bitcoin investment boom

To recap, MicroStrategy is essentially a proxy for direct BTC investment without a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States. It holds 140,000 BTC worth $4.26 billion, the most by a publicly traded company as a part of its treasury strategy.

MSTR investors typically get their buying or selling cues from the same catalysts that drive Bitcoin market trends.

As a result, the stock has mirrored the BTC price uptrend so far in 2023, led by rush-to-safety trades amid the U.S. banking crisis and anticipation that the Federal Reserve would stop hiking rates.

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Crypto regulation: Does SEC Chair Gary Gensler have the final say?

In a February interview with New York Magazine, Gary Gensler, chairman of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, said that just about every crypto transaction, with the exception of Bitcoin spot transactions and buying or selling things with cryptocurrency, falls within the jurisdiction of the SEC. 

In the interview, when discussing what types of crypto transactions should be regulated as securities, Gensler didn’t mince words. “Everything other than Bitcoin. You can find a website, you can find a group of entrepreneurs, they might set up their legal entities in a tax haven offshore, they might have a foundation, they might lawyer it up to try to arbitrage and make it hard jurisdictionally or so forth,” Gensler said. 

Gensler continued, “They might drop their tokens overseas at first and contend or pretend that it’s going to take six months before they come back to the U.S., but at the core, these tokens are securities because there’s a group in the middle and the public is anticipating profits based on that group.” 

Gensler contends that the SEC’s jurisdiction over most cryptocurrencies is based on a 1946 Supreme Court ruling in the case SEC v. W.J. Howey Co. According to Investopedia, the W.J. Howey Co. sold citrus groves to Florida buyers. Those buyers would lease the groves back to the company. The company cultivated the trees and sold the oranges on behalf of the Florida buyers. Both would share in the profits. W.J. Howey Co. subsequently failed to register with the SEC, arguing that its transactions were not investment contracts. 

(State Library and Archives of Florida, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons)

W.J. Howey Co. lost the case when the court ruled that the leaseback arrangements were investment contracts, thus establishing the Howey test wherein four criteria are used to determine whether something constitutes an investment contract: An investment of money, in a common enterprise, with the expectation of profit, to be derived from the efforts of others.

Midwinter scene, Traveling through an orange grove
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Bitcoin 'mega whales' send BTC price to $30K as volatility hits crypto

Bitcoin (BTC) returned above $30,000 on April 18 as volatility preceded the day’s Wall Street open.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin erases intraday losses

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as the pair suddenly added $500, delivering daily gains of more than 3%.

The pair had previously worried traders, who watched as $30,000 support looked set to remain as longer-term resistance.

Before crossing the $30,000 mark, Binance order book activity was a focus for monitoring resource Material Indicators, which identified bid liquidity moving closer to spot price.

“Some has already started moving closer to the active trading zone. Watching to see if more of it follows or if price drops back into the $28s to fill,” part of accompanying commentary read.

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Bitcoin on-chain data highlights the steps BTC is taking to exit the bear market

Glassnode’s latest analysis suggests that Bitcoin has built a strong foundation below the $30,000 level, and the current supply structure shows similarities to early 2016 and early 2019.

The report shows that the Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply is just shy of a new all-time high, with a total supply balance of 14.161 million Bitcoin (BTC). In contrast, short-term holders (STH), who acquired coins after FTX failed, have seen their supply balance of 2.914 million BTC remain relatively constant in 2023.

By April 12, 155 days had passed since the FTX exchange collapsed on Nov. 8, 2022. The 155-day mark is crucial because it is the minimum length of time that a Bitcoin holder must have held their coins to be classified as a long-term holder (LTH).

Thus, the supply distribution can be divided into two halves, first, before FTX’s collapse to represent LTH supply, and the other after, to represent short-term holders.

Bitcoin Long/Short-Term Holder Supply. Source: Glassnode

The report also drew a comparison of previous market cycles based on LTH behavior expressed via changes in their supply. It noted that Bitcoin is currently experiencing a period of “Plateau of Patience,” where LTH supply tends to hover around its ATH, often from several months to over a year.


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SOL price risks 20% drop despite Grayscale Solana Trust's retail debut

On April 17, the price of Solana (SOL) crept lower in the wake of similar price moves across the top-ranking cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

SOL's price dropped over 4% under $24.50 despite rising to $26 — a two-month high — earlier in the day.

In comparison, BTC's and ETH's prices dropped 3.5% and 3%, respectively, hinting at a bearish start to the week.

SOL/USD hourly price chart. Source: TradingView

SOL price in a technical correction

The SOL/USD selloff on April 17 started after it entered its 2023 resistance range.

Notably, the $25-27 price area has capped Solana's upside attempts since January 2023. Testing it as resistance has preceded 25-40% corrections on multiple occasions this years, as illustrated below.

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Tether market cap eyes record high after regaining 65% stablecoin dominance

Tether (USDT) has emerged as a clear winner amid the ongoing banking crisis and crypto crackdown in the U.S.

On April 17, the U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin's circulating market valuation reached nearly $81 billion, just 1.5% below its record high of $82.29 billion from a year ago. It has grown about 20% year-to-date (YTD) already and is now eyeing new all-time highs.

USDT market capitalization monthly chart. Source: TradingView

Tether rivals hit new yearly lows

USDT's growth came as Tether ate up the market share of its stablecoin rivals, USD Coin (USDC) and Binance USD (BUSD). That is due to crypto traders' belief that Tether's operations have no exposure to the potential banking crisis contagion.

For instance, the circulating market capitalization of the USD Coin, the second-largest stablecoin, has dropped over 25% YTD to $31.82 billion, its worst since October 2021, primarily due to its exposure to the failed Silicon Valley Bank

USDC market capitalization monthly chart. Source: TradingView

BUSD, on the other hand, has witnessed a 60% drop in market capitalization in 2023 to $6.68 billion, its lowest since April 2021, as the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) ordered Paxos, a regional crypto firm, to stop its mint and issuance. 

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Bitcoin sparks liquidations as analyst says BTC price may dip 12% more

Bitcoin (BTC) headed lower into the April 17 Wall Street open as downside began liquidating longs.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin price tipped for break below $29,000

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD wicking to $29,247 on Bitstamp — its lowest in a week.

Gains for Asian stocks failed to rescue the losses on the day, these beginning immediately after the April 16 weekly close.

Traders, many of whom had predicted a retest of $30,000 support, were unsurprised, with many hoping that the event would form a “buy-the-dip” opportunity before Bitcoin moved higher.

Popular trader Crypto Ed said that BTC/USD had “swept the lows,” while others focused on the area around $28,500 as a potential bottom zone.

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BTC price heading under $30K? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week under $30,000 as analysts’ predictions of a short-term support retest come true.

The largest cryptocurrency saw a classic dive following its latest weekly close as the latest gains evaporated, but will they return?

Ahead of a fairly innocuous week for macro data releases, catalysts are likely to come elsewhere as BTC price action decides on a key support zone.

Much is at stake for traders, as the week prior offered the opportunity to reinvestigate altcoins as Bitcoin itself cooled its upside. With a retracement now in effect, attention will be on whether those altcoins can hold at their own higher levels.

Under the hood, it appears to be business as usual for Bitcoin, with network fundamentals already at or near all-time highs, showing no definitive signs of a comedown this week.

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FTX considers reboot, Ethereum’s fork goes live and OpenAI news: Hodler’s Digest, April 9-15

FTX’s new management plans to relaunch the exchange in 2024, Ethereum’s Shapella hard executed on mainnet and OpenAI faces rising competition.

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